538 2024 Demographic Model Notice. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house. This isn’t a popularity contest™.


538 2024 Demographic Model Notice

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Polling website fivethirtyeight (538) gave president biden a narrow edge over former president trump tuesday as it launched its model for predicting the 2024 race for the.

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